Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.768166 4.496021 5.307249 6.275582 7.396990 8.651721 10.158702
2025-08-31 2.711882 3.640698 4.783861 6.282553 8.182349 10.495988 13.510685
2025-09-07 2.039739 3.025409 4.343129 6.207942 8.748591 12.054467 16.639908
2025-09-14 1.525877 2.476105 3.843521 5.912418 8.911035 13.036993 19.065212
2025-09-21 1.231190 2.162957 3.592846 5.884095 9.383352 14.427682 22.119883
2025-09-28 1.010478 1.910990 3.377011 5.851528 9.811502 15.759439 25.174903
2025-10-05 0.914028 1.841003 3.427517 6.224411 10.876522 18.102837 29.893679
2025-10-12 0.803933 1.722842 3.374206 6.410109 11.649371 20.050493 34.153388
2025-10-19 0.724518 1.644689 3.374323 6.677955 12.572022 22.295601 39.035773
2025-10-26 0.624469 1.505102 3.238966 6.682429 13.036129 23.821233 42.862056
2025-11-02 0.515329 1.323286 2.993253 6.446730 13.042867 24.569548 45.444361
2025-11-09 0.426140 1.165307 2.767891 6.215109 13.022240 25.252728 47.944384
2025-11-16 0.368728 1.070233 2.660970 6.210234 13.437151 26.755815 52.015367
2025-11-23 0.321320 0.989069 2.571135 6.228289 13.897264 28.376688 56.415263
2025-11-30 0.275116 0.899847 2.447963 6.157495 14.169937 29.667804 60.305438
2025-12-07 0.223606 0.782550 2.237998 5.865015 13.954318 30.012584 62.467432
2025-12-14 0.193989 0.720252 2.150655 5.837160 14.286131 31.430182 66.728351
2025-12-21 0.168434 0.663351 2.066790 5.804902 14.601915 32.834215 71.048419
2025-12-28 0.162361 0.667626 2.145180 6.175189 15.840504 36.176739 79.343161
2026-01-04 0.149508 0.645856 2.148914 6.359597 16.674911 38.746929 86.261024
2026-01-11 0.140572 0.635545 2.183185 6.625583 17.719634 41.820331 94.360233
2026-01-18 0.124389 0.594163 2.120404 6.630026 18.150576 43.627819 99.995962
2026-01-25 0.103911 0.529627 1.976120 6.395966 17.986201 44.145926 103.008039